Mathematics Benchmarking Report TIMSS 1999–Eighth Grade

 

 

 

CHAPTER 1: Student Achievement in Mathematics

Chapter 1 summarizes eighth-grade achievement on the TIMSS 1999 mathematics assessment for each of the Benchmarking states, districts, and consortia, as well as for each participating country. Comparisons of participants’ performance against international benchmarks, as well as gender differences in performance, are also provided.

 

How Do Participants Differ in Mathematics Achievement?

Exhibit 1.1 presents the distribution of student achievement for the 38 TIMSS 1999 countries and the 27 Benchmarking participants in a two-page display.(1) The left-hand page shows countries and Benchmarking participants together, in decreasing order of average (mean) scale score, and indicates whether the average for each participant is significantly higher or lower than the international average of 487. The international average was obtained by averaging across the mean scores for each of the 38 participating countries. On the right-hand page is a tabular display of average achievement, along with the number of years of formal schooling and the average age of students tested.

Many of the Benchmarking participants performed fairly well on the TIMSS 1999 mathematics assessment. Average performance for the 13 Benchmarking states was clustered in the middle of the international distribution of results for the 38 countries. All of the Benchmarking states performed either significantly above or similar to the international average. The United States as a whole also had average mathematics achievement just above the international average.

The Benchmarking Study underscores the extreme importance of looking beyond the averages to the range of performance found across the nation. Performance across the participating school districts and consortia reflected nearly the full range of achievement internationally. The two highest-achieving Benchmarking participants were the Naperville School District and the First in the World Consortium. These were two of the Benchmarking participants with the lowest percentages of students from low-income families (Naperville, 2 percent; First in the World, 14 percent).(2) Benchmarking participants with the lowest average mathematics achievement included four urban school districts with high percentages of students from low-income families – the Jersey City Public Schools (89 percent), the Chicago Public Schools (71 percent), the Rochester City School District (73 percent), and the Miami-Dade County Public Schools (59 percent). Although not quite as high as Singapore, Korea, and Chinese Taipei nor as low as the lowest-scoring countries in TIMSS 1999, the range of average performance across the Benchmarking districts and consortia was almost as broad as across all the TIMSS 1999 countries.

That achievement is distributed broadly within as well as across participating entities is graphically illustrated in Exhibit 1.1 showing the distribution of student performance within each entity. Achievement for each participant is shown for the 25th and 75th percentiles as well as for the 5th and 95th percentiles.(3) Each percentile point indicates the percentages of students performing below and above that point on the scale. For example, 25 percent of the eighth-grade students in each participating entity performed below the 25th percentile for that entity, and 75 percent performed above the 25th percentile. The range between the 25th and 75th percentiles represents performance by the middle half of students. In most entities, the range of performance for the middle group was between 100 and 150 scale-score points. Performance at the 5th and 95th percentiles represents the extremes in both lower and higher achievement. The range of performance between these two score points, which includes 90 percent of the population, is between 250 and 300 points for most participants. The dark boxes at the midpoints of the distributions show the 95 percent confidence intervals around the average achievement in each entity.(4)

As well as showing the wide spread of student achievement within each entity, the percentiles also provide a perspective on the size of the differences among entities. Even though performance generally differed very little between one participant and the next higher- or lower-performing one, the range across participants was very large. For example, average performance in Singapore was comparable to or even exceeded performance at the 95th percentile in the lower-performing countries such as Chile, the Philippines, Morocco, and South Africa. This means that only the most proficient students in the lower-performing countries approached the level of achievement of Singaporean students of average proficiency.

Exhibit 1.2 compares overall mean achievement in mathematics among individual entities. This figure shows whether or not the differences in average achievement between pairs of participants are statistically significant. Selecting a participant of interest and reading across the exhibit, a triangle pointing up indicates significantly higher performance than the comparison participant listed across the top; a circle indicates no significant difference in performance; and a triangle pointing down indicates significantly lower performance.

The data in Exhibit 1.2 reinforce the point that, when ordered by average achievement, adjacent participants usually did not significantly differ from each other, although the differences in achievement between the high-performing and low-performing participants were very large.

Singapore, Korea, Chinese Taipei, and Hong Kong had the highest performance, closely followed by Japan, the Naperville School District, the First in the World Consortium, and Belgium (Flemish).(5) Naperville and First in the World both performed similarly to Hong Kong, Japan, and Belgium (Flemish), but significantly below Singapore, Korea, and Chinese Taipei. The difference in performance from one participant to the next was often negligible. Montgomery County, the Michigan Invitational Group, the Academy School District, the Project smart Consortium, the Southwest Pennsylvania Math and Science Collaborative, Michigan, Texas, Indiana, Oregon, Guilford County, Massachusetts, Connecticut, and Illinois were outperformed by only the top-performing eight or nine entities. These Benchmarking jurisdictions had average achievement most similar to the Netherlands, the Slovak Republic, Hungary, Canada, Slovenia, the Russian Federation, Australia, Finland, the Czech Republic, and Malaysia. Pennsylvania and South Carolina had achievement similar to that of Latvia (lss),(6) the United States, and England, closely followed by North Carolina, Idaho, Maryland, Missouri, and the Fremont/Lincoln/Westside Public Schools. The Delaware Science Coalition and the Jersey City Public Schools had average achievement similar to that of Italy, out-performing eleven and nine of the TIMSS 1999 countries, respectively. The Chicago Public Schools had average achievement close to that in Moldova, Thailand, and Israel. The Rochester City School District and the Miami-Dade County Public Schools had average eighth-grade mathematics performance lower than most of the TIMSS 1999 countries. Rochester had performance similar to the Republic of Macedonia, but significantly higher than Indonesia and Chile. Miami-Dade had average achievement about the same as the Islamic Republic of Iran, but significantly higher than the three lowest-scoring countries (the Philippines, Morocco, and South Africa).

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1 TIMSS used item response theory (IRT) methods to summarize the achievement results on a scale with a mean of 500 and a standard deviation of 100. Given the matrix-sampling approach, scaling averages students’ responses in a way that accounts for differences in the difficulty of different subsets of items. It allows students’ performance to be summarized on a common metric even though individual students responded to different items in the test. For more detailed information, see the “IRT Scaling and Data Analysis” section of Appendix A.
2 Low-income figures are percentages of students eligible to receive free or reduced-price lunch through the National School Lunch Program, as reported by participating schools.
3 Tables of the percentile values and standard deviations for all participants are presented in Appendix C.
4 See the “IRT Scaling and Data Analysis” section of Appendix A for more details about calculating standard errors and confidence intervals for the TIMSS statistics.
5 Belgium has two separate educational systems, Flemish and French. The Flemish system participated in TIMSS 1999.
6 Because coverage of its eighth-grade population falls below 65%, Latvia is annotated LSS for Latvian-Speaking Schools only.

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TIMSS 1999 is a project of the International Study Center
Boston College, Lynch School of Education